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CATALONIA TO WEIGH OF THE GOVERNMENT'S EFFORTS CONTINUES THROWING DE SPAIN 

The Spanish GDP grew in the fourth trimester 0,8 percent Inter quarterly, the same rhythm that in the previous trimester, according to an estimate of the Bank Spain of published on Wednesday. Madrid, Catalonia, Valencian Community, Canaries, Castile-the Stain and Navarrese will grow this year above the stocking of 3,1%, according to the estimate of the Center of Economic Prediction (Ceprede) that points out that all the territories will advance above 2%. 

The upgrade of the indicators, together with the incorporation of the data of the third trimester of the national accounting, maintains the estimate of growth of the national attaché in 3,1%. According to Ceprede, the Catalan situation has not still affected to the regional growths and on the contrary no matter how much the press centralist mediatic attempts it that the rest of Spain puts on against Catalonia it is that it is the opposite Catalonia it continues being the motor that moves the Spanish economy

In fact, for the present year the prospective effect about the national economy is invaluable, a situation that different foresee for 2018 if for the stupidity of the government of the PP this it maintains the bad press and the excessive and vengeful judicial measures of face to sink the Catalan economy without realizing that, if this makes it, behind he/she goes the Spanish economy without fail

Of the results of the report it is extracted that Madrid will be the most dynamic autonomy this year, 3,6%, for before Catalonia (3,4%), Valencian Community (3,4%), Castile-the Stain (3,3%) and Navarrese (3,2%), all her with a superior growth to that of the national stocking. After them it is located Balearic, with an advance of 3,1%, like the national stocking. Below 3% they are located the rest of communities to whose line Murcia will be, according to the Center of Economic Prediction, with an increase of the GDP of 2,1%. 

Ceprede keeps in mind fifteen indicators of the economic activity, as the members to the Social security, the consumption of fuels, the enrollments or the external trade, to elaborate its estimates. The BdE said that the strength in the exports allowed to counteract the impact of the conflict independents in Catalonia that yes it would be passing invoice to the regional economy, the curious of the comment is that it is Catalonia another time the one that more export provides to the Spanish economic statistics, for what you/they put on like put on with or without process of independence Catalonia continues being the motor of Spain

The invigoration of the export markets would have counteracted the derived adverse effects of the increase of the uncertainty related with the political situation in Catalonia that, in accordance with the available information - relatively scarce - and I add properly manipulated, they would have concentrated especially on that autonomous community, it sustains the Bank of Spain (BdE). 

The institutional confrontation of Catalonia with the central state and the tribunals took to revise to the drop the economic objectives of the country, propitiating the transfer of the social headquarters of more than 3.000 companies outside of Catalonia and shrinking in the last months the employment, the tourism and the foreign investment in the region. Everything thanks to a stupid plan propitiated by the government of the PP of trying to affect to the Catalan economy without realizing that all that steals to the Catalan economy loses it the Spanish economy because Spain doesn't have productive fabric to replace it. 

The information of the situation about the relative economic activity to the trimester in course in the group of Spain and in the different CCAA it is still incomplete, but he already understands an outstanding group of indicators (...) In accordance with this information, the economic activity would have you deaccelerate in the last tract of the year in Catalonia in more measure that in the stocking of the considered CCAA, the curious of this manipulation, is that the own institution still mentions to some information’s incomplete, the BdE said. 

This slowdown of the information would owe herself to the worst behavior in the employment indicators, tourism and market of the housing, among other, in this autonomous community, about that observed, in stocking, in the group of the CCAA. Although the elections of Thursday gave the victory to the party unionist Citizens, the group of the blocks political pro-independence added majority of benches in a situation that one of the most important crises in the democracy prolongs again and that it seems that he/she will force to open dialogue fronts among the regional and national politicians. 

The Bank of Spain said that the final incidence of this element of risk on the group of the Spanish economy in the fourth trimester will depend on the magnitude and of the persistence that finishes having. And that says it because I repeat Catalonia now despite the one who spite continues to their production rhythm and of exports so less wolves and more equanimity, if Spain continues drowning to its hen, although now alone it is in the pages of the Spanish press and in the economic manipulation of reports of the BdE of the eggs of gold, he will be left without eggs and without gold.  

A relief of the grade of tension in Catalonia, as which was perceived during the month of November and the first weeks of December, could lead to a scenario of bigger growth of the product that the one considered in the recently published projections. on the contrary, he explained that “a hypothetical rewrote of the tensions in next months could take to a more marked impact on the consumption decisions and the agents' investment that the one that is inferred starting from the available partial data”. 

Publicidad
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