YOU HAVE TO SERIOUSLY TAKE THE ECONOMY OR EXPLODE ANOTHER DEPRESSION

The world events begin to cause noxious effects in the economic forecasts of countries central banks and the stock markets, this if he doesn't stop, we are heading to a new crisis that can overcome the passing of the 2008 and for their width to already become a world depression whose effects can be dangerous for the international stability. 

The European Commission clipped drastically on Thursday its presage of economic growth in the area euro for this year and the next one due to the deceleration waited in the biggest countries in the block, caused by the global commercial tensions and the growing public debt, finally they had to arrive the consequences of the indecisions of the Brexit, of the reality of the war economíca of the U.S and China, the indefinición regarding the fururo that type energy system used the automobiles, the petroleum that falls with a Venezuela that no longer knows that to make with the petroleum that takes place when not buying him the USA. Etc. 

Another topic is the geopolitical insecurity with Russia and the EE.UU. breaking the treaties of nuclear weapons, etc. is not good elements for the development of the economy that hides very quick when smells danger, this this beginning to happen and it can complicate but all that that already this causing insecurity in the world. 

In their presage economic trimestrales, the executive of the UE also revised to the drop his estimates for the inflation in the monetary block of 19 countries next year that now it is expected that it is lower than that foreseen by the European Central Bank, what probably complicates the plans of the institution of going up the types of interest this year. 

The Commission said that the growth of the area euro you desacelerará, until 1,3 percent this year, in front of 1,9 percent of 2018, and you prevé that turnaround in 2020 to 1,6 percent. The new estimates are less optimistic than the previous forecasts of the Commission, published in November, when Brussels hoped the area euro grew 1,9 percent this year and 1,7 percent in 2020. 

It is expected that the growth in the European Union of 27 nations - without United Kingdom whose exit is foreseen for final of March - he falls to 1,5 percent this year, in front of 2,1 percent of 2018. Next year, you prevé that the block 1,8 percent grows. The forecasts indicate that all the countries of the European Union will continue growing, and it is expected that the block registers its seventh serial year of expansion, but the states bigger members will be braked significantly. 

In Germany, the biggest economy in the block, is expected that the growth diminishes to 1,1 percent this year from 1,5 percent of 2018. The Commission had predicted a growth of 1,8 percent previously for Germany this year. It is predicted that France, Italy, Spain and the Low Countries also reduce the rhythm of their expansion, and it is expected that Italy is the slowest economy in the whole UE with a growth of so alone 0,2 percent this year. 

The Commission mentioned the global commercial tensions and the deceleration of China like the main ballasts for the economy of the European Union. But he also mentioned other concerns that have resurged, as the sostenibilidad of the debt, mainly in Italy. The economic deceleration predicted by the Commission is worse than the one that the BCE advances in its last projections published in December, when the bank foresaw that the area euro grew 1,7 percent this year. 

Neither it is good news for the BCE that the Commission projects an inflation of the area euro of 1,4 percent this year, below the estimates of the BCE of 1,6 percent, and far from the objective of the bank that aspires to locate the advance of the prices in a near rate to 2,0 percent. After December, those responsible for the BCE have said that it is probable that the forecasts of the bank are revised to the drop in March. 

Among so much the responsible Europeans try to arrive to a position that allows to close the Brexit to eliminate all the serious incertidumbrs that hang on the British economy and their collaboration with the UE. The German chancellor, Angela Merkel, said on Thursday that she believes that you can achieve a solution for the problem of the Irish frontier in the negotiations of the Brexit without reopening the Agreement of Retreat on the exit of Kingdom Together of the European Union. 

United Kingdom and the 27 remaining members of the UE have interest in an orderly Brexit, Merkel said in Bratislava, to 50 days that United Kingdom leaves the block. "Fifty days it is not a lot, and 50 days it is a lot, depending of how you see" it, she said before meeting with the leaders of Slovakia, Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland. We "all have interest: I see it in the British Parliament and in the British Government, in (the first British minister) Theresa May, but it is also in our interest, to achieve an orderly exit of the United Kingdom, since it is the best thing for all us." 

May traveled to Brussels on Thursday to request to the leaders of the UE that change the pact of the Brexit that remembered the last year with the purpose of achieving its ratification in the national Parliament, after the European leaders offered few hopes on its disposition to make it. 

“We should protect the integrity of our internal market, that is clear", Merkel said. "But we also want mechanisms, for example that are important and necessary for our state member Ireland, since we are aware of the fragility between the Republic of Ireland and Ireland of the North". I "Believe that we can find solutions without reopening the Agreement of Retreat", she added. 

You also speculate that the president from United States, Donald Trump, and their Chinese homologous, Xi Jinping, meet before the term of March 1 agreed by both countries to reach a commercial agreement, they said on Thursday two responsible American and a near source to the negotiations. The countries were given a parenthesis of 90 days in their commercial war to close a treatment. There is programmed a new beat of conversations for next week in Beijing. 

But although we are seeing an activity in two of the fronts this he goes being delayed and it is evident that until not you aclkaren these two topics the world economy this in an impas that causes that their forecasts become in very pessimistic and this then supposing that everything gets ready satisfactorily a lot hill to win the time and the lost trust.